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How common are severe side effects from COVID vaccines? And how are they detected?

The Conversation

Former federal MP Dr Kerryn Phelps has about the medical problems she and her wife had after their COVID-19 vaccinations around 18 months ago.

Authors


  • Kristine Macartney

    Professor, Discipline of Paediatrics and Child Health, University of Sydney


  • Allen Cheng

    Professor in Infectious Diseases Epidemiology, Monash University


  • Christopher Blyth

    Paediatrician, Infectious Diseases Physician and Clinical Microbiologist, Telethon Kids Institute, The University of Western Australia


  • Julie Leask

    Professor, Susan Wakil School of Nursing and Midwifery, University of Sydney

In her to the parliamentary inquiry into long COVID, Phelps said her wife Jackie Stricker-Phelps had ongoing neurological problems after her first vaccine. Phelps herself experienced breathlessness and blood-pressure fluctuations after her second dose.

This has prompted public discussion about severe side effects, known as “adverse events”, after COVID-19 vaccines.

We’re vaccine experts and while we can’t specifically comment on Phelps’ concerns, here’s how adverse events are tracked, confirmed and prevented.

Understanding new health concerns

In any new large vaccine rollout, some people will experience a serious medical problem in the period after the new vaccine is given, and wonder “was it from the vaccine?”.

This is particularly the case when the problem has an uncertain cause, is not well understood or is only recently described. People naturally want to know the cause of a problem.

Good vaccine safety systems address these questions. The condition occurring in a window of time after vaccination is an obvious criterion. But other factors are crucial when determining whether one thing caused another.

It’s important to consider these other factors, because not everything that happens after a vaccine is . Heart attacks, strokes, new autoimmune diseases, and death can all occur shortly after a vaccine. The key question is whether a vaccine caused or worsened the risk of a condition.

Tracking new adverse events

Strong vaccine safety systems are designed to identify and investigate potential new health issues related to a vaccine.

Safety assessments start early in product development then proceed to clinical trial assessments. Clinical trials, including for COVID-19 vaccines, compare a group who receive the vaccine with another receiving a placebo (or another vaccine).

These trials are large – around 20,000-30,000 people are closely monitored for many months – but can only detect relatively common side effects.

Nurse puts bandaid on person's arm after vaccination
Initial clinical trials can only detect relatively common side effects.

More than have been given globally. As vaccines are given to the wider population, many countries (including Australia) monitor for rare and serious side effects.

Safety monitoring has occurred across the whole populations in more than 190 countries. Detailed epidemiological studies have also included many millions of people. These studies look at whether the risk of a condition is increased in people shortly after vaccination, compared to other times or in unvaccinated people.

So what have they found?

Some rare but serious events caused by COVID-19 vaccines were detected within months of the vaccine rollout.

is a serious but rare clotting disorder. It occurs in around one in 50,000 doses of the AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine, reported in Australia. This was rapidly reported and its detection shaped the COVID-19 vaccine rollout.

(inflammation of the heart muscle) has been seen more frequently, particularly in teenage boys and young men after mRNA vaccines (around two to ten cases for every 100,000 second Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine doses). While most people with myocarditis related to vaccine have mild symptoms and recover over days or weeks, a small number have more serious disease or prolonged symptoms.

Other rare conditions related to COVID-19 vaccines include anaphylaxis, Guillain-Barré syndrome and immune thrombocytopenia. However, than the serious risks from COVID-19 itself in the absence of vaccination.

There are many “signals” or suggestions that other conditions are linked to COVID-19 vaccines. A , for example, suggests a common syndrome call postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome (POTS) occurred after vaccination but was five times more common after COVID-19 itself. However, as the authors of the study pointed out, further studies are needed.

Other signals have not been substantiated by evidence at all.

The releases regular statements as any new vaccine safety signals are investigated and confirmed.

So how does Australia track vaccine problems?

monitors and assesses vaccine safety through the Therapeutic Goods Administration (TGA) and health departments, with close involvement of independent vaccine safety scientists and a range of clinical experts, by:

1) Asking clinicians and patients to report any adverse event after vaccination to the

The TGA examines many severe adverse events in detail, sometimes through an expert panel. Others are tracked and classified to see if they’re being reported at unusually high rates.

The TGA has processed more than for COVID-19 vaccines up to mid-November 2022. Not all reports represent events caused by the vaccine but reporting helps identify unusual patterns, including by rates of a condition after vaccination to that seen usually in the population without vaccines (the background rate).

The TGA acknowledges receipt of reports but does not routinely give feedback on individual cases. In some cases, the person reporting is contacted if further information is required to either complete or assess the adverse event report.

2) Using active surveillance systems including

Researchers survey millions of people at regular intervals after vaccination to look for new signals and publish fortnightly real-time .

These reports and show COVID-19 vaccines have a very good safety profile, including in people with a range of pre-existing medical conditions. These people benefit most from vaccination as they are at highest risk of complications from COVID-19.

3) Monitoring for conditions that could theoretically be a risk after vaccination

This occurs in all phases of vaccine development, clinical trials and program rollouts, often using specially designed studies and long term follow-up.

4) Getting information and safety reports from other countries, and vaccine manufacturers

This is done continuously. Thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome (the rare clotting disorder), for example, was first reported in Europe and myocarditis in Israel.

5) Looking at studies using large to check for for positive or negative links between vaccination and health conditions

These types of studies showed between measles, mumps and rubella vaccines and autism. They must take into account many factors, such as having COVID-19 itself.

A , yet to be peer-reviewed, for example, showed fewer new health problems four months after Omicron infection in people given a booster compared to those given only two doses of COVID-19 vaccine.

6) Using a national to support GPs and specialists to assess patients with complex immunisation questions

This includes questions about health conditions before or after vaccines, and how to approach additional vaccine doses.

What if you have an adverse effect after vaccination?

The first thing to do is report it. Either patients or clinicians adverse events to the TGA.

Second, ensure your health care is managed by a GP and/or specialist who can investigate all possible causes, and seek expert support as needed.

When rare adverse events are shown to be caused by a vaccine, people should be compensated.

In August 2021, the Australian government to support individuals suffering from serious health conditions caused by a COVID-19 vaccination, joining in doing so.

Despite the slow implementation, is a key component of a comprehensive vaccine safety program. We recommend ensuring this scheme is optimised and also includes all vaccines, not just those for COVID-19.

Transparency is essential

It’s important to have about the benefits and risks of vaccination – both for COVID-19 and other vaccine-preventable diseases.

Vaccines are clearly life-saving. A recent study estimated there were in the first year of program rollout thanks to COVID-19 vaccines.

However, a key to achieving high coverage is confidence, which requires transparency about vaccine safety, as well as factual and empathic communication.

The Conversation

Kristine Macartney receives salary in her role as the Director of the ³Ô¹ÏÍøÕ¾ Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance (NCIRS). NCIRS receives funding from the Australian and state and territory government departments of health and DFAT, the WHO, Gavi the Vaccine Alliance, the NHMRC and MRFF. She is a member of the WHO Global Advisory Committee on Vaccines (GACVS), the Australian Technical Advisory Group on Immunisation (ATAGI) and the Advisory Committee on Vaccines (ACV) and other advisory groups.

Allen Cheng receives funding from the Australian Health and Medical Research Council. He is the Chair of the Advisory Committee for Vaccines (advising the Therapeutic Goods Administration) and is a member of the Australian Technical Advisory Group on Immunisation.

Christopher Blyth receives funding from the NHMRC and MRFF. He is a member of the COVID-19 SITAG and past member of the Australian Technical Advisory Group on Immunisation.

Julie Leask receives funding from the World Health Organization, UNICEF, NHMRC and the ³Ô¹ÏÍøÕ¾ Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance. Funds go to her institution. She has previously received a sitting fee from the Therapeutic Goods Administration for participation in an expert advisory group.

/Courtesy of The Conversation. View in full .