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Rental affordability in regional Victoria hits ‘historic’ low

Shelter - SGS Economics & Planning

Rental affordability across regional Victoria is continuing to rapidly decline, hitting a historic low in 2024 with low income earners bearing the brunt of the crisis, according to the tenth annual ³Ô¹ÏÍøÕ¾ Shelter-SGS Economics and Planning Rental Affordability Index released today.

The average rental household in regional Victoria is now paying 28 per cent of the gross income of $84,203 if renting at the median rate. Renting in the region is now classed as ‘moderately unaffordable, with a score of 108.

People on low incomes are suffering the most, with a single person on JobSeeker facing ‘extremely unaffordable’ rents, with 59 per cent of their income going towards a rental. Another group that is struggling is single part-time workers on parent benefits with ‘severely unaffordable rents’, and sacrificing 46 per cent of their pay. Meanwhile, single or coupled pensioners are facing ‘unaffordable’ rents in regional Victoria.

Tenants Victoria CEO Jennifer Beveridge said: “Renters tell Tenants Victoria’s frontline services that housing affordability remains a huge concern and continue to report steep rent hikes to us. Indeed, our services can’t meet the heavy demand from renters on low to middle incomes who seek our help.

“Victoria’s rental laws there is no fixed method to calculate a rent rise, so we have long called for the State Government to introduce a fairness formula to guide the setting of fair rent increases.”

The trend of declining affordability is consistent across all parts of regional Victoria but at different levels. While the Surf Coast and Geelong regions experienced some of the largest decreases in affordability between 2020 and 2021, Ocean Grove and Torquay are now considered ‘Severely Unaffordable’ to the average regional Victorian household. Coastal towns are among the least affordable regions in the state.

Rental affordability in regional cities such as Bendigo, Shepparton and Ballarat have continued to decline and are now considered ‘Moderately Unaffordable’ for the average household.

SGS Economics & Planning Principal Ellen Witte said: “The rental market in Victoria is spiraling and what was once affordable is slipping out of reach for many. Households are being forced to live further away from their jobs to access affordable rents, causing fatigue and other issues in workers.”

“This is a severe problem which needs to be addressed by the government with an expansion in social and affordable housing, before we have more people on the streets. Both state and federal governments need to provide urgent intervention.

“After reaching a peak during the Covid-19 pandemic, most regional areas in Victoria have seen a decline in affordability and people on low incomes are suffering the most. Families and pensioners are in dire straits.

“We need urgent rental market reform to ensure residents across the state have access to safe and affordable housing and remain in areas with access to essential services such as schools, hospitals and emergency services.”

Household

Affordability

Rent as share of income

RAI score

Single person on JobSeeker

Extremely unaffordable

59 per cent

51

Single pensioner

Unaffordable

37 per cent

81

Pensioner couple

Unaffordable

31 per cent

98

Single part-time worker on parent benefits

Severely unaffordable

46 per cent

65

Single full-time working parent

Affordable

19 per cent

157

Single income couple with children

Acceptable

23 per cent

129

Dual income couple with children

Very affordable

12 per cent

258

Student share house (three bedroom)

Acceptable

24 per cent

127

Minimum wage couple

Acceptable

20 per cent

149

Hospitality worker

Acceptable

25 per cent

122

* Table comparing each household in regional Victoria and their rent as a share of income, as well as RAI score and affordability.

/Public Release.